TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 5:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mimi Xu and Aspen Schuman in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Aspen Schuman. This market will resolve to 'Aspen Schuman' if Aspen Schuman advances against Mimi Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mimi Xu and Aspen Schuman in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mimi Xu' if Mimi Xu advances against Aspen Schuman. This market will resolve to 'Aspen Schuman' if Aspen Schuman advances against Mimi Xu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate their own research and insights into their predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating, providing a constantly updated assessment of the likely winner of the Lexington tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lexington tennis match between Mimi Xu and Aspen Schuman. Once the match concludes and the winner is officially declared by the tournament organizers, the market will settle, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. For example, if one player is reported to be unwell or has a history of struggling in similar conditions, their share price might decrease. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of player momentum and confidence, leading to adjustments in this market. Public commentary from tennis analysts and experts may also influence trader sentiment.