TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Slama and Kate Sharabura in the W50 Lexington, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Slama' if Mia Slama advances against Kate Sharabura. This market will resolve to 'Kate Sharabura' if Kate Sharabura advances against Mia Slama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Slama and Kate Sharabura in the W50 Lexington, SC, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Slama' if Mia Slama advances against Kate Sharabura. This market will resolve to 'Kate Sharabura' if Kate Sharabura advances against Mia Slama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Slama vs Sharabura match. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Slama vs Sharabura match. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares directly translates to the market's forecast; a share priced at 60 means there's a 60% implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slama vs Sharabura match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to shareholders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and after it concludes to understand the resolution process.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before the Oct 12, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators or expert predictions could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in related tournaments or shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also cause traders to reassess their positions on the Slama vs Sharabura match, leading to price fluctuations and increased volume.