TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Brengle and Lea Ma in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Madison Brengle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Brengle and Lea Ma in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Madison Brengle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently or has identified an edge. It's also common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in the hours leading up to an event.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Brengle vs Ma match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, a report of an injury to Madison Brengle would likely increase the probability of Lea Ma winning, causing the price of shares representing that outcome to rise. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, as could any late-breaking analysis from tennis experts. General shifts in public sentiment can also move this market.