TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Linea Bajraliu and Lea Ma in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linea Bajraliu' if Linea Bajraliu advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Linea Bajraliu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Linea Bajraliu and Lea Ma in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linea Bajraliu' if Linea Bajraliu advances against Lea Ma. This market will resolve to 'Lea Ma' if Lea Ma advances against Linea Bajraliu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view in this market, driving the odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side, but as the event approaches, the odds tend to converge.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Linea Bajraliu vs Lea Ma match in Lexington, SC. The platform will verify the winner as reported by official tournament sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as an injury to either Linea Bajraliu or Lea Ma, would likely cause significant movement. Updates on playing conditions, like weather forecasts impacting the court surface, could also shift expectations. Major shifts in public opinion, perhaps triggered by expert analysis or social media discussion, can also affect trading activity. Finally, large trades by influential participants could temporarily move the market, although the overall trend will likely reflect the underlying probabilities as the match draws closer.