TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arantxa Rus and Kaitlyn Carnicella in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Kaitlyn Carnicella. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlyn Carnicella' if Kaitlyn Carnicella advances against Arantxa Rus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arantxa Rus and Kaitlyn Carnicella in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Kaitlyn Carnicella. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlyn Carnicella' if Kaitlyn Carnicella advances against Arantxa Rus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value and potential mispricings within this market, and how they may evolve over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in expectations and provides a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arantxa Rus versus Kaitlyn Carnicella match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in the tournament landscape, might also lead to adjustments. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price swings, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market’s pricing before Oct 17, 2026.