TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arantxa Rus and Ena Koike in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Ena Koike. This market will resolve to 'Ena Koike' if Ena Koike advances against Arantxa Rus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arantxa Rus and Ena Koike in the W50 Lexington, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Ena Koike. This market will resolve to 'Ena Koike' if Ena Koike advances against Arantxa Rus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result of the match, though this market represents a unique forecast based on its participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Rus vs Koike match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with no central authority setting the odds; it’s a truly decentralized forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arantxa Rus versus Ena Koike match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected announcements about player withdrawals or alterations to the match schedule would also likely cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, general tennis news, analysis from experts, and even social media sentiment can all contribute to changes in trader behavior and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.