TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 7:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raluca Georgiana Serban and Nastasja Schunk in the W50 Istanbul, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Nastasja Schunk. This market will resolve to 'Nastasja Schunk' if Nastasja Schunk advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Raluca Georgiana Serban and Nastasja Schunk in the W50 Istanbul, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Nastasja Schunk. This market will resolve to 'Nastasja Schunk' if Nastasja Schunk advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing and risk management that aren't necessarily tied to the true probability of an outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about who will win the W50 Istanbul tennis match. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings or incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, though they can also be influenced by biases and speculative trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the W50 Istanbul tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the W50 Istanbul tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled and ensure accurate payout calculations.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by either Raluca Georgiana Serban or Nastasja Schunk in other tournaments leading up to the W50 Istanbul event would also likely influence the odds. Furthermore, any public statements from tennis analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely winner could also cause movement in this market.