TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Melis Sezer and Valeria Garnevska in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melis Sezer' if Melis Sezer advances against Valeria Garnevska. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Garnevska' if Valeria Garnevska advances against Melis Sezer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Melis Sezer and Valeria Garnevska in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melis Sezer' if Melis Sezer advances against Valeria Garnevska. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Garnevska' if Valeria Garnevska advances against Melis Sezer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the players’ chances or a potential arbitrage opportunity. It’s important to note that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information faster than traditional markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares related to that player will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Istanbul W50 tennis match between Melis Sezer and Valeria Garnevska, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which player won the match and trigger the payout of shares accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Istanbul W50 tennis match.