TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lina Gjorcheska and Raluca Georgiana Serban in the W50 Istanbul, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lina Gjorcheska' if Lina Gjorcheska advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Lina Gjorcheska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lina Gjorcheska and Raluca Georgiana Serban in the W50 Istanbul, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lina Gjorcheska' if Lina Gjorcheska advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Lina Gjorcheska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes there is value in one outcome over another. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors or analysts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders attempting to profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the Istanbul W50 tennis match. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Istanbul W50 tennis match between Lina Gjorcheska and Raluca Georgiana Serban. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match’s completion and official result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could all impact the perceived probability of each player winning. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from tennis analysts, could also sway trader sentiment. Significant volume spikes on Polymarket are often a sign that new information is being incorporated into the market price, and could signal a potential shift in expectations.