TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Smirnova and Yaren Ozen in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Smirnova' if Ksenia Smirnova advances against Yaren Ozen. This market will resolve to 'Yaren Ozen' if Yaren Ozen advances against Ksenia Smirnova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Smirnova and Yaren Ozen in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Smirnova' if Ksenia Smirnova advances against Yaren Ozen. This market will resolve to 'Yaren Ozen' if Yaren Ozen advances against Ksenia Smirnova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome, and potentially identify opportunities where the market disagrees with traditional betting outlets.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Istanbul W50 tennis match between Ksenia Smirnova and Yaren Ozen. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in the tennis rankings, could also lead to price movements. Additionally, large trades by individual participants or groups could temporarily influence the market price, though the overall trend will likely reflect the consensus view of the event’s probability.