TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarina Kuzmova and mihrumah tuanna sirin in the W50 Istanbul, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Kuzmova' if Katarina Kuzmova advances against mihrumah tuanna sirin. This market will resolve to 'mihrumah tuanna sirin' if mihrumah tuanna sirin advances against Katarina Kuzmova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katarina Kuzmova and mihrumah tuanna sirin in the W50 Istanbul, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Kuzmova' if Katarina Kuzmova advances against mihrumah tuanna sirin. This market will resolve to 'mihrumah tuanna sirin' if mihrumah tuanna sirin advances against Katarina Kuzmova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, leading to differing probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kuzmova vs Sirin match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, and is a direct indicator of the perceived likelihood of each player winning.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Istanbul tennis match between Katarina Kuzmova and mihrumah tuanna sirin. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or updates on their physical condition, would likely cause price movements. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could also indicate a shift in sentiment and move the market. Monitoring tennis news and following player updates will be key to understanding potential catalysts.