TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Yashina and Enki Nas Celik in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Yashina' if Ekaterina Yashina advances against Enki Nas Celik. This market will resolve to 'Enki Nas Celik' if Enki Nas Celik advances against Ekaterina Yashina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Yashina and Enki Nas Celik in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Yashina' if Ekaterina Yashina advances against Enki Nas Celik. This market will resolve to 'Enki Nas Celik' if Enki Nas Celik advances against Ekaterina Yashina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds on Polymarket diverging from those found at sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of active traders and the availability of relevant information. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated view of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Istanbul W50 tennis match, specifically identifying the winner of the match between Ekaterina Yashina and Enki Nas Celik. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the definitive result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this competition, as determined by the official results.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. For example, reports of Yashina or Celik experiencing a minor injury could cause their respective share prices to decrease. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament venue could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to price movements on Polymarket as traders react to new information.