TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Yashina and Beatris Spasova in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Yashina' if Ekaterina Yashina advances against Beatris Spasova. This market will resolve to 'Beatris Spasova' if Beatris Spasova advances against Ekaterina Yashina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Yashina and Beatris Spasova in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Yashina' if Ekaterina Yashina advances against Beatris Spasova. This market will resolve to 'Beatris Spasova' if Beatris Spasova advances against Ekaterina Yashina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagering. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is solely determined by supply and demand within Polymarket and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Istanbul W50 tennis match, specifically which player wins the match. The platform will rely on established tennis authorities and official match records to determine the winning player. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved based on the official tournament rules and regulations.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even general shifts in public opinion, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.