TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darya Velikova and Urszula Radwanska in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darya Velikova' if Darya Velikova advances against Urszula Radwanska. This market will resolve to 'Urszula Radwanska' if Urszula Radwanska advances against Darya Velikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darya Velikova and Urszula Radwanska in the W50 Istanbul, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darya Velikova' if Darya Velikova advances against Urszula Radwanska. This market will resolve to 'Urszula Radwanska' if Urszula Radwanska advances against Darya Velikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate information not fully reflected in traditional odds, or vice versa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the chance of a particular result in the Velikova vs Radwanska match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Velikova vs Radwanska match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Darya Velikova or Urszula Radwanska, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, might impact the price of shares in this market, leading to increased volume and price volatility.