TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Nikolaidou and Tilwith Di Girolami in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Nikolaidou' if Sofia Nikolaidou advances against Tilwith Di Girolami. This market will resolve to 'Tilwith Di Girolami' if Tilwith Di Girolami advances against Sofia Nikolaidou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Nikolaidou and Tilwith Di Girolami in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Nikolaidou' if Sofia Nikolaidou advances against Tilwith Di Girolami. This market will resolve to 'Tilwith Di Girolami' if Tilwith Di Girolami advances against Sofia Nikolaidou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's assessment of each player’s chances of winning the Heraklion tennis match, and the volume traded demonstrates the level of conviction behind those beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Sofia Nikolaidou and Tilwith Di Girolami. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the payout for this market. The final result will be publicly available and used to settle all outstanding shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tournament, might also play a role. Significant trading activity from well-known or respected traders on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements, as others react to their actions and perceived insights.