TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi La Cagnina and Maria Rentoumi in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi La Cagnina' if Noemi La Cagnina advances against Maria Rentoumi. This market will resolve to 'Maria Rentoumi' if Maria Rentoumi advances against Noemi La Cagnina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi La Cagnina and Maria Rentoumi in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi La Cagnina' if Noemi La Cagnina advances against Maria Rentoumi. This market will resolve to 'Maria Rentoumi' if Maria Rentoumi advances against Noemi La Cagnina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing or house biases into their lines, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines, or vice versa. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different methodologies and incentives.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Noemi La Cagnina and Maria Rentoumi, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also cause movement. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to be reflected in the price of shares on Polymarket.