TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Chudejova and Zejda Veljacic in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Chudejova' if Mia Chudejova advances against Zejda Veljacic. This market will resolve to 'Zejda Veljacic' if Zejda Veljacic advances against Mia Chudejova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Chudejova and Zejda Veljacic in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Chudejova' if Mia Chudejova advances against Zejda Veljacic. This market will resolve to 'Zejda Veljacic' if Zejda Veljacic advances against Mia Chudejova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals willing to take either side of a bet. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly favors one outcome or when specialized knowledge is present among market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, particularly in events where public perception is skewed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the W50 Heraklion match between Mia Chudejova and Zejda Veljacic. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and winning shares will be redeemable for the corresponding payout based on the final price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Mia Chudejova or Zejda Veljacic could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the W50 Heraklion tournament might also affect perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity are key to understanding potential market movements.