TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martha MATOULA and Tilwith Di Girolami in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martha MATOULA' if Martha MATOULA advances against Tilwith Di Girolami. This market will resolve to 'Tilwith Di Girolami' if Tilwith Di Girolami advances against Martha MATOULA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martha MATOULA and Tilwith Di Girolami in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martha MATOULA' if Martha MATOULA advances against Tilwith Di Girolami. This market will resolve to 'Tilwith Di Girolami' if Tilwith Di Girolami advances against Martha MATOULA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome, and the price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions about the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Martha MATOULA and Tilwith Di Girolami. The platform will verify the winner through established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, and overall market volume could increase as the match draws closer and more attention is focused on the event.