TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lara Schmidt and Raluca Georgiana Serban in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lara Schmidt' if Lara Schmidt advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Lara Schmidt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lara Schmidt and Raluca Georgiana Serban in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lara Schmidt' if Lara Schmidt advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Lara Schmidt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Lara Schmidt and Raluca Georgiana Serban, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on player form could cause significant shifts. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media commentary from tennis analysts, might also impact trader sentiment. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match would likely move the odds, as would any indication of a strategic advantage for one competitor.