TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Josy Daems and Noa Krznaric Uygungul in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josy Daems' if Josy Daems advances against Noa Krznaric Uygungul. This market will resolve to 'Noa Krznaric Uygungul' if Noa Krznaric Uygungul advances against Josy Daems. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Josy Daems and Noa Krznaric Uygungul in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josy Daems' if Josy Daems advances against Noa Krznaric Uygungul. This market will resolve to 'Noa Krznaric Uygungul' if Noa Krznaric Uygungul advances against Josy Daems. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant difference emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate disagreement about the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may not immediately account for.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Daems vs Krznaric match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more the price will reflect the perceived likelihood of each player winning, influenced by any new information or developments. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Heraklion tennis match between Josy Daems and Noa Krznaric Uygungul. Any official result published by the tournament organizers will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in preceding matches involving either player could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, any publicly available analysis from tennis experts or commentators could sway traders' opinions and affect the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in the market leading up to Oct 13, 2026.