TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Josy Daems and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josy Daems' if Josy Daems advances against Miriam Bianca Bulgaru. This market will resolve to 'Miriam Bianca Bulgaru' if Miriam Bianca Bulgaru advances against Josy Daems. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Josy Daems and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Josy Daems' if Josy Daems advances against Miriam Bianca Bulgaru. This market will resolve to 'Miriam Bianca Bulgaru' if Miriam Bianca Bulgaru advances against Josy Daems. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently or has access to unique insights. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Heraklion tennis match between Josy Daems and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders holding shares in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or the release of expert analysis could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 14, 2026.