TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jennifer Ruggeri and Raluca Georgiana Serban in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jennifer Ruggeri' if Jennifer Ruggeri advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Jennifer Ruggeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jennifer Ruggeri and Raluca Georgiana Serban in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jennifer Ruggeri' if Jennifer Ruggeri advances against Raluca Georgiana Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Georgiana Serban' if Raluca Georgiana Serban advances against Jennifer Ruggeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously update their beliefs based on new information. If there's a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling shares on Polymarket and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Jennifer Ruggeri and Raluca Georgiana Serban. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants on Polymarket can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts that might move this market.