TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Angelica Sara in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Dalina Amariei' if Ilinca Dalina Amariei advances against Angelica Sara. This market will resolve to 'Angelica Sara' if Angelica Sara advances against Ilinca Dalina Amariei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Angelica Sara in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Dalina Amariei' if Ilinca Dalina Amariei advances against Angelica Sara. This market will resolve to 'Angelica Sara' if Angelica Sara advances against Ilinca Dalina Amariei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when a significant amount of information isn’t widely available or when there’s strong sentiment driving trading activity. Examining these differences can highlight where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Heraklion tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price can be influenced by various factors, including news updates, player form, and general sentiment, all of which are incorporated into traders’ decisions to buy or sell shares.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ilinca Dalina Amariei versus Angelica Sara match in Heraklion. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in other matches could influence trader sentiment. A strong performance by either player in a preceding tournament or a shift in expert analysis could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the odds to shift rapidly as we approach Nov 8, 2026.