TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Maria Eleni Poulka in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Maria Eleni Poulka. This market will resolve to 'Maria Eleni Poulka' if Maria Eleni Poulka advances against Helena Muzinic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Maria Eleni Poulka in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Maria Eleni Poulka. This market will resolve to 'Maria Eleni Poulka' if Maria Eleni Poulka advances against Helena Muzinic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. These discrepancies can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage, though it’s important to consider transaction fees and potential risks before attempting such strategies.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Heraklion tennis match between Helena Muzinic and Maria Eleni Poulka. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the Heraklion venue, potentially affecting playing style, could also play a role. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might influence perceptions of player momentum and confidence. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly.