TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Miriam Bianca Bulgaru. This market will resolve to 'Miriam Bianca Bulgaru' if Miriam Bianca Bulgaru advances against Francesca Curmi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Miriam Bianca Bulgaru. This market will resolve to 'Miriam Bianca Bulgaru' if Miriam Bianca Bulgaru advances against Francesca Curmi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Francesca Curmi and Miriam Bianca Bulgaru. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this match.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, might also cause the market to react. A significant shift in volume, indicating increased trading activity, could also signal a change in expectations regarding the match's outcome. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential movements in this market.