TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Mazzoni and Cristina PESCUCCI in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Mazzoni' if Emma Mazzoni advances against Cristina PESCUCCI. This market will resolve to 'Cristina PESCUCCI' if Cristina PESCUCCI advances against Emma Mazzoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Mazzoni and Cristina PESCUCCI in the W50 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Mazzoni' if Emma Mazzoni advances against Cristina PESCUCCI. This market will resolve to 'Cristina PESCUCCI' if Cristina PESCUCCI advances against Emma Mazzoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths and weaknesses. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those seen at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Heraklion match between Emma Mazzoni and Cristina PESCUCCI. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and standings, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team dynamics could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, can also lead to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions before the market resolves.