TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dunja Maric and Vittoria Paganetti in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dunja Maric' if Dunja Maric advances against Vittoria Paganetti. This market will resolve to 'Vittoria Paganetti' if Vittoria Paganetti advances against Dunja Maric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dunja Maric and Vittoria Paganetti in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dunja Maric' if Dunja Maric advances against Vittoria Paganetti. This market will resolve to 'Vittoria Paganetti' if Vittoria Paganetti advances against Dunja Maric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s probabilities are determined by traders buying and selling shares. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own opinion on the likely winner of the Heraklion tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Dunja Maric and Vittoria Paganetti, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly before the Heraklion tennis match concludes.