TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ani Amiraghyan and Juliette Mazzoni in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ani Amiraghyan' if Ani Amiraghyan advances against Juliette Mazzoni. This market will resolve to 'Juliette Mazzoni' if Juliette Mazzoni advances against Ani Amiraghyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ani Amiraghyan and Juliette Mazzoni in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ani Amiraghyan' if Ani Amiraghyan advances against Juliette Mazzoni. This market will resolve to 'Juliette Mazzoni' if Juliette Mazzoni advances against Ani Amiraghyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the wisdom of the crowd, where traders buy and sell contracts based on their own research and beliefs. As a result, prediction market odds can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate forecast, especially when a significant amount of information isn't publicly available or is difficult to quantify. It’s a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe Ani Amiraghyan will win, or 'no' contracts if they believe Juliette Mazzoni will emerge victorious. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, representing the market's probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Ani Amiraghyan and Juliette Mazzoni, as determined by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be the outcome reflected in the market’s resolution. Traders holding the winning contract will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Heraklion event might also affect perceptions of each player's form. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.