TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Oktiabreva and Nuria Brancaccio in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Nuria Brancaccio. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Brancaccio' if Nuria Brancaccio advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Oktiabreva and Nuria Brancaccio in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Nuria Brancaccio. This market will resolve to 'Nuria Brancaccio' if Nuria Brancaccio advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view on Polymarket, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Alisa Oktiabreva will win, for example, the higher the price of shares representing her victory will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Alisa Oktiabreva and Nuria Brancaccio, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. The market will close prior to the official result being publicly available.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the tournament, might also play a role. Even social media discussions and expert analysis could impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of Alisa Oktiabreva’s or Nuria Brancaccio’s chances of winning could lead to significant movements in this market.