TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 6:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Vittoria Paganetti in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Vittoria Paganetti. This market will resolve to 'Vittoria Paganetti' if Vittoria Paganetti advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Vittoria Paganetti in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Vittoria Paganetti. This market will resolve to 'Vittoria Paganetti' if Vittoria Paganetti advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. If significant differences emerge between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that they have access to information not yet reflected in the sportsbook's lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants, making it a valuable tool for forecasting the result of the Heraklion tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alice Tubello versus Vittoria Paganetti match in Heraklion. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 15, 2026.