TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Helena Muzinic in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Helena Muzinic. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Helena Muzinic in the W50 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Helena Muzinic. This market will resolve to 'Helena Muzinic' if Helena Muzinic advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding unexpected developments or late-breaking news related to player form or conditions. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current market price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the probability of a specific player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Alice Tubello and Helena Muzinic as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events is crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market and anticipating potential changes in the odds.