TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariam Bolkvadze and Harmony Tan in the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariam Bolkvadze' if Mariam Bolkvadze advances against Harmony Tan. This market will resolve to 'Harmony Tan' if Harmony Tan advances against Mariam Bolkvadze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariam Bolkvadze and Harmony Tan in the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariam Bolkvadze' if Mariam Bolkvadze advances against Harmony Tan. This market will resolve to 'Harmony Tan' if Harmony Tan advances against Mariam Bolkvadze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probabilities as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in market participants. If sportsbook odds strongly disagree with those seen here, it might signal an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on the difference in perceived value.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cherbourg-en-Cotentin tennis match between Mariam Bolkvadze and Harmony Tan, as determined by official tournament organizers. The winning player will be the outcome reflected in the market’s resolution. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on Polymarket.