TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 1:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liv Boulard and Katarina Zavatska in the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liv Boulard' if Liv Boulard advances against Katarina Zavatska. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Zavatska' if Katarina Zavatska advances against Liv Boulard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liv Boulard and Katarina Zavatska in the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liv Boulard' if Liv Boulard advances against Katarina Zavatska. This market will resolve to 'Katarina Zavatska' if Katarina Zavatska advances against Liv Boulard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. It’s useful to compare them as part of a broader analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome – in this case, either Liv Boulard or Katarina Zavatska winning the match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy shares in Boulard, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of her winning. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin match between Liv Boulard and Katarina Zavatska, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match, according to the official results, will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore move this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for either Boulard or Zavatska, would likely have an impact. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also be a catalyst, especially if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. Finally, significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also lead to changes in the odds on Polymarket.