TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Hesse and Julie Myatovic in the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Julie Myatovic. This market will resolve to 'Julie Myatovic' if Julie Myatovic advances against Amandine Hesse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amandine Hesse and Julie Myatovic in the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amandine Hesse' if Amandine Hesse advances against Julie Myatovic. This market will resolve to 'Julie Myatovic' if Julie Myatovic advances against Amandine Hesse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin match between Amandine Hesse and Julie Myatovic. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports for either Amandine Hesse or Julie Myatovic, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact the perceived likelihood of each player winning. Furthermore, updates on head-to-head records or recent performance in similar tournaments could cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to price movements in this market.