TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeria Garnevska and Sonja Zhenikhova in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Garnevska' if Valeria Garnevska advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Valeria Garnevska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeria Garnevska and Sonja Zhenikhova in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Garnevska' if Valeria Garnevska advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Valeria Garnevska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of event outcomes than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders, incentivized to make correct predictions. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or limitations in their modeling, this market benefits from the wisdom of the crowd. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of liquidity and market efficiency, as well as differing opinions on the relative probabilities of each player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Burgas tennis match between Valeria Garnevska and Sonja Zhenikhova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which player won the match and trigger the payout to those who correctly predicted the outcome in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the perceived probabilities. A strong showing by either player in a practice session or a pre-match interview might also lead to adjustments in the market, as traders react to new information and reassess their predictions.