TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Van Emst and Milana Konovalova in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Van Emst' if Sarah Van Emst advances against Milana Konovalova. This market will resolve to 'Milana Konovalova' if Milana Konovalova advances against Sarah Van Emst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Van Emst and Milana Konovalova in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Van Emst' if Sarah Van Emst advances against Milana Konovalova. This market will resolve to 'Milana Konovalova' if Milana Konovalova advances against Sarah Van Emst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines. It's common to see this market react quickly to news or developments that might take sportsbooks longer to adjust to, potentially offering value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Burgas tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Sarah Van Emst and Milana Konovalova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and confirmed on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even significant shifts in public opinion, could also cause the market to move. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to impact the trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.