TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Van Emst and Maia Ilinca Burcescu in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Van Emst' if Sarah Van Emst advances against Maia Ilinca Burcescu. This market will resolve to 'Maia Ilinca Burcescu' if Maia Ilinca Burcescu advances against Sarah Van Emst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sarah Van Emst and Maia Ilinca Burcescu in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sarah Van Emst' if Sarah Van Emst advances against Maia Ilinca Burcescu. This market will resolve to 'Maia Ilinca Burcescu' if Maia Ilinca Burcescu advances against Sarah Van Emst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing the likelihood of a specific player winning the Burgas tennis match, and this price fluctuates based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Burgas tennis match between Sarah Van Emst and Maia Ilinca Burcescu. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match, based on official tournament results. The platform will verify the outcome against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Burgas could also play a role, potentially affecting playing style and match outcomes. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could drive changes in trading volume and price. Any late withdrawals or changes to the match schedule would also be key signals to watch for.