TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Melanie Stoichkova and Nicole Gadient in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melanie Stoichkova' if Melanie Stoichkova advances against Nicole Gadient. This market will resolve to 'Nicole Gadient' if Nicole Gadient advances against Melanie Stoichkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Melanie Stoichkova and Nicole Gadient in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melanie Stoichkova' if Melanie Stoichkova advances against Nicole Gadient. This market will resolve to 'Nicole Gadient' if Nicole Gadient advances against Melanie Stoichkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, constantly updating as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Melanie Stoichkova and Nicole Gadient. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the market, as could major shifts in public opinion or expert analysis. Significant betting activity on Polymarket itself can also drive price movements, as traders react to each other's actions and new information.