TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Alexia-Shara Iancu in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Dalina Amariei' if Ilinca Dalina Amariei advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Ilinca Dalina Amariei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Alexia-Shara Iancu in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Dalina Amariei' if Ilinca Dalina Amariei advances against Alexia-Shara Iancu. This market will resolve to 'Alexia-Shara Iancu' if Alexia-Shara Iancu advances against Ilinca Dalina Amariei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Ilinca Dalina Amariei and Alexia-Shara Iancu. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also lead to price movements. Additionally, large trades by influential participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026.