TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulia Safina Popa and Julia Hofmann in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Safina Popa' if Giulia Safina Popa advances against Julia Hofmann. This market will resolve to 'Julia Hofmann' if Julia Hofmann advances against Giulia Safina Popa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulia Safina Popa and Julia Hofmann in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Safina Popa' if Giulia Safina Popa advances against Julia Hofmann. This market will resolve to 'Julia Hofmann' if Julia Hofmann advances against Giulia Safina Popa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all traders, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Burgas tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Giulia Safina Popa and Julia Hofmann. The platform will verify the match's completion and the declared winner against established sports data sources. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout equivalent to the final market price of their shares, while those holding shares in the losing player will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the court surface, or reports of a player’s recent performance in practice matches, might also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings in the Burgas tennis match.