TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Feistel and Rositsa Dencheva in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Feistel' if Gina Feistel advances against Rositsa Dencheva. This market will resolve to 'Rositsa Dencheva' if Rositsa Dencheva advances against Gina Feistel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Feistel and Rositsa Dencheva in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Feistel' if Gina Feistel advances against Rositsa Dencheva. This market will resolve to 'Rositsa Dencheva' if Rositsa Dencheva advances against Gina Feistel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors like weather conditions. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might suggest an opportunity for value betting, where one side is potentially undervalued by the market. It's always wise to compare both to make informed decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares for that player will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly reflects the latest information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Gina Feistel and Rositsa Dencheva, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the winner against official sources to determine which outcome resolves as correct. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will lose their stake.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or even updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect confidence in either player's ability. Furthermore, significant trading activity from well-informed traders could signal a change in expectations, causing the odds to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.