TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Sonja Zhenikhova in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Sonja Zhenikhova in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Sonja Zhenikhova. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhenikhova' if Sonja Zhenikhova advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome, the prediction market may show a different probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of the crowd participating in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares are bought and sold, adjusting the price based on supply and demand. As more people buy shares representing a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly represents the probability of that outcome being true at the time of settlement. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the event's result.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Sonja Zhenikhova. Specifically, the market will resolve to the outcome corresponding to the player who wins the match, as determined by official tournament results. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For instance, if one player is reported to be unwell or has a history of performing poorly on the surface being played on, their shares may decrease in value. Unexpected weather conditions during the match, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts, could also cause shifts in the market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.