TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Giulia Safina Popa in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Giulia Safina Popa. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Safina Popa' if Giulia Safina Popa advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizara Yaneva and Giulia Safina Popa in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizara Yaneva' if Elizara Yaneva advances against Giulia Safina Popa. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Safina Popa' if Giulia Safina Popa advances against Elizara Yaneva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form. If you find a significant difference between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, it might signal a potential edge for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Burgas tennis match. The current price of shares indicates what the collective market believes is the probability of each player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Elizara Yaneva vs Giulia Safina Popa tennis match in Burgas. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to significant price movements in this market.