TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diana-Ioana Simionescu and Ralitsa Alexandrova in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana-Ioana Simionescu' if Diana-Ioana Simionescu advances against Ralitsa Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ralitsa Alexandrova' if Ralitsa Alexandrova advances against Diana-Ioana Simionescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diana-Ioana Simionescu and Ralitsa Alexandrova in the W50 Burgas, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diana-Ioana Simionescu' if Diana-Ioana Simionescu advances against Ralitsa Alexandrova. This market will resolve to 'Ralitsa Alexandrova' if Ralitsa Alexandrova advances against Diana-Ioana Simionescu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to convergence or continued divergence with sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders expressing their views on the likely winner of the Burgas tennis match. This creates a dynamic pricing system that adapts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Diana-Ioana Simionescu versus Ralitsa Alexandrova tennis match in Burgas. The platform will verify the result against official tournament data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also affect perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026.