TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Alves and Denislava Glushkova in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Alves' if Carolina Alves advances against Denislava Glushkova. This market will resolve to 'Denislava Glushkova' if Denislava Glushkova advances against Carolina Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carolina Alves and Denislava Glushkova in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carolina Alves' if Carolina Alves advances against Denislava Glushkova. This market will resolve to 'Denislava Glushkova' if Denislava Glushkova advances against Carolina Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but are also influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, in contrast, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that better represent the true probability of each player winning. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform regarding the likelihood of either Carolina Alves or Denislava Glushkova winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Burgas tennis match between Carolina Alves and Denislava Glushkova, as reported by an authoritative sports source. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also affect predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the Oct 14, 2026 resolution.