TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Angela Fita Boluda and Federica Urgesi in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angela Fita Boluda' if Angela Fita Boluda advances against Federica Urgesi. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Angela Fita Boluda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Angela Fita Boluda and Federica Urgesi in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Angela Fita Boluda' if Angela Fita Boluda advances against Federica Urgesi. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Angela Fita Boluda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or debate surrounding the players involved. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Burgas tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Burgas tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Angela Fita Boluda versus Federica Urgesi match in Burgas. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available data from official tennis sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create momentum and lead to significant price movements before the Burgas tennis match concludes. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the market’s evolution.