TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Sobolieva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Sobolieva' if Anastasiia Sobolieva advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Anastasiia Sobolieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasiia Sobolieva and Ane Mintegi Del Olmo in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasiia Sobolieva' if Anastasiia Sobolieva advances against Ane Mintegi Del Olmo. This market will resolve to 'Ane Mintegi Del Olmo' if Ane Mintegi Del Olmo advances against Anastasiia Sobolieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers and potentially identify undervalued or overvalued outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will adjust accordingly, reflecting the changing expectations of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Anastasiia Sobolieva versus Ane Mintegi Del Olmo match in Burgas. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and widely accepted sources for professional tennis results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the Burgas tennis match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could all shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceived probabilities. Any significant information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning is likely to cause movement in the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the new data.