TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alena Kovackova and Polona Hercog in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alena Kovackova' if Alena Kovackova advances against Polona Hercog. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Alena Kovackova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alena Kovackova and Polona Hercog in the W50 Burgas, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alena Kovackova' if Alena Kovackova advances against Polona Hercog. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Alena Kovackova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals willing to put their money behind their predictions. As a result, the odds can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors who identify discrepancies. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment of the match’s likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Burgas match between Alena Kovackova and Polona Hercog. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match, or if the match ended in a draw. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, reports of Kovackova or Hercog experiencing a minor injury during practice could lead to a decrease in their respective share prices. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match venue might also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to movements in this market.