TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuliya Hatouka and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Hatouka' if Yuliya Hatouka advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Yuliya Hatouka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuliya Hatouka and Rebecca Munk Mortensen in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Hatouka' if Yuliya Hatouka advances against Rebecca Munk Mortensen. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Munk Mortensen' if Rebecca Munk Mortensen advances against Yuliya Hatouka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can trade accordingly on Polymarket, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of real-world information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the W50 Austin tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price isn't determined by any central authority but emerges from the interactions of all participants, creating a dynamic and potentially insightful forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the W50 Austin tennis match, specifically which player ultimately wins. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even strong performances in practice sessions, might also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions and drive trading volume. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 26, 2026.