TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuliya Hatouka and Maria Kononova in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Hatouka' if Yuliya Hatouka advances against Maria Kononova. This market will resolve to 'Maria Kononova' if Maria Kononova advances against Yuliya Hatouka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuliya Hatouka and Maria Kononova in the W50 Austin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Hatouka' if Yuliya Hatouka advances against Maria Kononova. This market will resolve to 'Maria Kononova' if Maria Kononova advances against Yuliya Hatouka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of informed traders. However, initial odds on Polymarket may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying levels of information and differing incentives. It’s common to see convergence as the event draws nearer and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds represent the most up-to-date assessment of the event's potential results, based on the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W50 Austin tennis match, as reported by the tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are officially confirmed, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches, or even weather forecasts affecting the playing surface, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by well-informed traders can cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception regarding the W50 Austin tennis match.